Once all the basics of the sweet 16 at Lovers Key beach are established, it’s time to focus on the details. It takes classic beach party ideas and steps things up a notch with a private gazebo, a beautiful view, and plenty of fun activities. This makes the planning much easier on your end and the day-of more enjoyable for all. Instead, contact Lovers Key and ask about renting event space. Showing up and setting up tents on your own won’t do for a sweet 16. Speaking of spending the day at Lovers Key, make sure you’ll have the necessary space to host everyone! This gives people a reasonable amount of time to put the party on their calendar without having other things interfere.Īs an added sweet 16 touch, make the invitations beach-themed to get everyone excited for a day at Lovers Key. It’s best to do this anywhere from a month in advance to two weeks out. Talk about everyone from their athletic team at school to childhood friends and close family members. Sit down with your child and ask them who they’d like to invite. Do you want to keep it small and intimate or throw an all-out beach bash? Either way, the more accurate of a headcount you have, the better. The main things to take care of for a birthday at Lovers Key are: Make the Guest List and Send Invitationsįirst things first, ask yourself how many people you want to have at the party. This way, the whole family can enjoy the celebration when your child’s birthday arrives. You should be handling all the details long in advance. The last thing you want to do when planning a sweet 16 is to come up with ideas just a few weeks before the big day. For a little help making the party happen, check out the guide below. If your child is about to reach this age, consider throwing their sweet 16 at Lovers Key beach this year. It means getting a driver’s license, a little more independence, and being one step closer to the big 18 and the fun of 21. ![]() ![]() Some moments are worth celebrating as much as possible, though, like your child’s sweet 16. The years really do fly by, which is why you have to make the most of every second. ![]() One minute, your baby is graduating from kindergarten and the next, they’re about to be done with high school! No matter how old they get, it’s never easy for a parent to watch their little ones grow up.
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If you’re more into ER than UML (and I agree that ER has some good points), QuickDatabaseDiagrams offers a textual notation to draw ER diagrams. (and part of this “geek” category, we could also include this emacs mode for sequence diagrams). Even our good friend PlantUML has a LaTeX extension.It produces beautiful UML diagrams in LaTeX TikZ-UML is a TikZ extension to manage common UML diagrams: class diagrams, use case diagrams, state-machine diagrams and sequence diagrams. Their main goal is to create UML diagrams readily usable in a LaTeX document It currently supports class, activity and use case diagrams and state machines. MetaUML is a “library for typesetting UML diagrams, using a human-friendly textual notation”.Latex macros for drawing UML Sequence diagrams, the name says it all.Hardcore LaTeX fans have also a way to easily embed UML diagrams in their TeX files. There is a free version (with watermark) and paid plans.Īnd if you just want to create some flow diagrams, check out code2flow. You can integrate your diagrams in Jira, Confluence, Notion, GitHub, and many other tools using the Copy URL button. You can create sequence diagrams from simple textual descriptions and turn them into SVG images. GraphUp covers Sequence Diagramas and Gantt Charts. Or save the image on your Android device for later use. Diagram how pieces of a system interact with each other, then share it in any cloud or social media-based app from your tablet or phone. The Sequins app allows you to quickly draw sequence diagrams while commuting or while you’re on the go. Swimlanes online editor for UML sequence diagrams ![]() If you’re looking for (JavaScript) libraries that help you to create your own modeling editor, go here. ![]() Note that I’m listing here end-user modeling tools. If you think yours is missing please leave a comment and I’ll add it. I tried to include all tools I’m aware of. Let’s see our complete list of textual modeling tools. Complete list of diagrams as code tools to render UML and other types of models from a few lines of text Click To Tweet I wonder if this typical usage scenario is what discourages companies to (barely) offer any kind of commercial solution for this market. That’s why I was saying that these tools are more of an option for quick and dirty model sketches (for documentation or blueprints for early design discussions) more than a serious and deep modeling activity. Still, as you’ll see in the list below, the features, expressiveness, and robustness of such tools are rather limited in most cases. Both aspects represent a huge boost to the adoption of these tools. And programmers typically feel more comfortable with textual languages than with graphical ones. The fact that UML models are stored as text simplifies their integration with a variety of tools (like version control systems) that programmers already use in their everyday work so there’s no need to learn/buy/install additional tools. In fact, since most textual UML tools have an online editor, they are a jackpot for occasional modelers.īut why are text-to-UML tools so popular? The short answer is that textual modeling tools have a very low barrier to entry. Together with online modeling tools, they are the go-to option for all people looking for some kind of lightweight solution to draw some models. Indeed, the textual UML tools market is one of the fastest-growing segment in the UML tools market (based on my own perception of visitors’ interest). This category of textual modeling tools is also known as diagrams as code (for similar reasons as many model-driven tools are renaming themselves as low-code tools). ![]() Many of these textual modeling tools focus on UML but beyond text to UML, we have also text to ER, text to BPMN, text to architecture and even text to chatbot tools. A textual modeling tool supports the use of textual notations and languages to describe software models and automatically renders the corresponding graphical diagram from that textual description. ![]() I know that style of writing will grate for some, but I have yet to tire of rare animals being adorable buffoons." It works even when you have fallen off your board, turning the game into a sort of avian tantrum simulator. It makes your bird squeak and flap its wings. ![]() Please understand, this is not a spelling error. Other quests might ask you to collect the letters for the word L E G S, or "screm at the floor ten times". They'll ask you to noseplant on quarter pipes to clean up soda cups, or roll around attaching balloons to a blanket to open up a new area. Your fellow birds are scattered around each level. Just press a button to get back up, or you can slap down a "reset" point anywhere, then warp back there with a button touch. You are tiny after all, and skating amid the pizza boxes or grinding the cereal bowls of your unseen human companion can result in a nasty fall. It gets you some extra air, nothing too outrageous, but it comes in handy if you need to leap over a discarded sock. This is basically a double-jump, a little flap-flap after you've already hopped. There are flips, grabs, plants, grinds, mid-air ollies. On an Xbox controller (you should use one) you hold down A and release to perform an ollie, then tap other buttons and the left thumbstick to perform a trick. With that tone firmly established, you get to doing ollies and flip tricks in a somewhat recognisable way. Even a trailer announcing the game's delayed release date couldn't help itself. Instead, this is about being a pigeon on a piece of plywood, collecting letters to the word M O N E Y because an investment banker cockatoo said it's important. We have Session and Skater XL for our kickflip realism. There are a bunch of canaries, eagles, gulls and budgies who give you missions and tasks to perform, and they are not serious birds. Still, it's hard to hate on these feathery ones when they squawk so pure, and when their taste in music is im-peck-able.ĭidn't like that bird joke? Well, maybe this game isn't for you. There's plenty of wobbly physics on show here, much of it intentional and jokey (as you'd expect from a game that seems to have resulted entirely from a single pun). But don't expect the truly smooth flow of the Hawkster's outings. It's the arcadey kind of kickflipper, handling more like THUG than a Skate game. Skatebird is simultaneously a homage to the Tony Hawk games of old and a celebration of just how stupid birds can be. A sometimes wonky skating game that makes up for its jank with birbish moxie. ![]() The possibilities are limitless when it comes to creating your own style. This way, you can access over 30 different vehicles to race with. Pick the sport car that matches your racing style. You'll never feel alone because of this game. Streetracers compete against each other and even random people in PvP to determine who is the best around. Additionally, the same traffic and obstacles can be found in both games.Ī racing game with an asphalt appearance it features flashing lights passed you as you race through various streets at high speeds. In these games, players drive on roads with speedbumps and narrow lanes. Street Racing 3D is a racing game that feels very similar to Asphalt 8: Airborne or Asphalt 9: Legends. Street Racing 3D's races feature hard-charging competitors who can avoid or deflect obstacles as they race. There are also other game modes, such as racing against time, that can be played as well. In Career Mode in Street Racing 3D, players must race against time or other opponents to achieve the first place finish line. If you complete this, you have to play again. Getting to the finish line four seconds ahead of your competitors is your goal. Once you're done, let them suffocate in dust. Don't let them delay your progress use this racing game to quickly outpace them. Hundreds of opponents are eager to claim victory in this competition. You'll race through city streets in every race and attempt to beat your opponent. Because it plays like a console game, it's easy to get lost in the experience when playing. It has over 100 million downloads, and it's why the game is so popular. The Google Play store is home to one of the most famous racing games, Street Racing 3D. ĭownload Links: Street Racing 3D Mod APK 7.4.0 Fast Download (98.26 MB) Septemmodified unlimited currency.: This version supports Chinese. Click here to learn how to use HappyMod to download and install all kinds of file types:xapk, bapk, apks. HappyMod is the best mod downloader for 100% working mods. ![]() You can download latest mod version or original version of Street Racing 3D 7.4.0 with HappyMod. The difference between mod version and original version is: Septemmodified unlimited currency.: Th. Street Racing 3D Mod is a modified version of Street Racing 3D developed by Ivy. ![]() Set in a cyberpunk-themed dystopian world in the year 2052, the story follows JC Denton, an agent of the fictional agency United Nations Anti-Terrorist Coalition (UNATCO), who is given superhuman abilities by nanotechnology, as he sets out to combat hostile forces in a world ravaged by inequality and a deadly plague. His missions entangle him in a conspiracy that brings him into conflict with the Triads, Majestic 12, and the Illuminati.ĭeus Ex's gameplay combines elements of the first-person shooter with stealth elements, adventure, and role-playing genres, allowing for its tasks and missions to be completed in a variety of ways, that in turn lead to differing outcomes. Deus Exe is a replacement executable for Deus Ex. Presented from the first-person perspective, the player can customize Denton's various abilities such as weapon skills or lockpicking, increasing his effectiveness in these areas this opens up different avenues of exploration and methods of interacting with or manipulating other characters. Its compatible with the GOTY edition of the game, which includes the Steam version. ![]() It fixes various issues running on modern computers, helps you configure the game, and includes a mod manager. The player can complete side missions away from the primary storyline by moving freely around the available areas, which can reward the player with experience points to upgrade abilities and alternative ways to tackle main missions. The game was released for Microsoft Windows on June 2000, with a Mac OS port following the next month. A modified version of the game was released for the PlayStation 2 in 2002. In the years following its release, Deus Ex has received additional improvements and content from its fan community. The game received critical acclaim, including repeatedly being named "Best PC Game of All Time" in PC Gamer's "Top 100 PC Games" in 2011 and a poll carried out by the UK gaming magazine PC Zone. Continue to this neighboring area and enter the code 0001 into the keypad. It received several Game of the Year awards, drawing praise for its pioneering designs in player choice and multiple narrative paths. The doors slide open, revealing a contaminated area beyond. Previous Deus Ex Games: Deus Ex GOTY (, the Holy Grail of Gaming, etc), Deus Ex. I love this game and could play it all year if I had the time and good investment for. This is a good time to upgrade your Environmental Training. Deus Ex: Human Revolution is a prequel game to the first Deus Ex. If it's in the game, someone, somewhere believes.It has sold more than 1 million copies, as of April 23, 2009. Strong storyline: Built on "real" conspiracy theories, current events and expected advancements in technology.Talk, fight or use skills to get past obstacles as the game adapts itself to your style of play. Multiple solutions to problems and character development choices ensure a varied game experience.Rich character development systems: Skills, augmentations, weapon and item selections and multiple solutions to problems ensure that no two players will end the game with similar characters.This creates empathy with the game characters and enhances the realism of the game world. A game filled with people rather than monsters.Many of the locations are built from actual blueprints of real places set in a near future scenario. ![]() The game includes action, character interaction and problem solving.
Rigbys a funny character and he seems nice enough to everyone usually thats why I voted for him I could say a lot. They did in fact try to play the song live, but it reportedly didn't sound very good. Rigby thinks everyone prefers Don over him. By chance, "Hey Man Nice Shot" was released as the first single from Filter's _Short Bus_ album, and due to this fact Stabbing Westward has been reluctant to play "Ungod" in concert. When both bands had been made aware of this, they made a decision for neither band to sue once the songs are released. For some reason he used the same guitar line for "Ungod" and "Hey Man Nice Shot". We lose one of the shows few regular characters, Mark Sheppards Crowley, along with a newer, highly likeable, recurring character, Courtney Fords Kelly Kline. Why does "Ungod" (the song) sound like Filter's "Hey Man Nice Shot"?Īround 1993, when Stabbing Westward was recording Ungod, Stuart Zechman was playing guitar for both Filter and Stabbing Westward. I did some googling and the best I could find was this same story on the Ungod wikipedia page, linked to an old Stabbing Westward FAQ as a source The guitarist with Stabbing Westward was also playing with Filter and showed both bands the guitar riff and both used it in a song.ĮDIT: This is something I have been hearing since the late 90's being a fan of both bands, but there seem to be some other stories in the comments. The title song off that album had the same guitar riff for the chorus as Hey Man Nice Shot. Appears in trailers for the films Behind Enemy Lines, Red Eye, Into the Blue, Stay, and Iron Man. Used as the introduction song for Tales from the Crypt: Demon Knight. Appears in a scene from I Melt with You (film). I'm not sure if this is totally right, but they have a lot of effectsĪnd noise so play with this and improvise.Interesting trivia, Stabbing Westward, another band from that era, released their first album Ungod, before this song. A scene from the film The Cable Guy uses a rare promo-only remix of 'Hey Man, Nice Shot'. But I find tabbing it all out repetitive and point. he cracked, There, that'll let the world know who that nice Mrs. Long Island Mens Salon for a Longer Hairstyle Hey guys - Ive been on the hunt for a. Not the right timing, just mess with it it's pretty straight for- At the end, Godfrey called out, Hey, Patsy, how's your mother. Amos shot 9 for 19 from the floor 2 days ago Police: 2 men. Play around with the above riff, it's the right notes, but probably After Muscle Man chooses the God of Basketball to be on his team, Hi Five Ghost disappears from the court for the remainder of the episode. Throughout the episode Muscle Man is seen shirtless, but when the sky turns dark Muscle Man is seen with his shirt on. Play in Dropped D tuning, loud, a lot of effects and feedback.Į| -|ī| -| If you like Helmet, NIN, and Tool, then this is a must have cd. This is a hell of a band, even though they really are just two guys. ![]() ![]() questions, comments and corrections to * (one guitar plays chorus chords while 2nd one plays theĮnding riff over the following repeated lyrics.) Filter performs in the music video 'Hey Man, Nice Shot' from the album 'Short Bus' recorded for Reprise Records. ![]() (chorus: play chorus chords over these lyrics - play Filter: Hey Man, Nice Shot: Directed by Kevin Kerslake. (chorus: play chorus chords over these lyrics.)Īnd let you smell what they consider wrong (1st verse: no major guitar parts, just some ********* how it all goes together *********** Compare prices of over 40 stores to find best deals for Rocksmith 2014 - Filter - Hey Man, Nice Shot in digital distribution. Hey Man, Nice Shot Lyrics Verse 1 I wish I would've met you Now it's a little late What you could've taught me I could've saved some face They think that your early ending Was all wrong. The exact amount of notes picked listen to song for that. Palm muting and tinny distortion) - note: i haven't included Verse riff (could be a keyboard but you can simulate with Dropped-D tuning (tune your low E string down to D) ![]() The takeaway is that demand will continue to fall for many months–regardless of mortgage rates–because people are slowly lowering their expectations for future house price increases. Today, the future-price-expectations part of demand is a lot smaller than it was last spring and it will continue to fade as long as prices aren’t increasing. Expectations for future price increases started to shrink. The music stopped and the punch bowl was taken away. ![]() Then in 2022, mortgage rates skyrocketed. We probably had a lot of herd instinct kick in as well, “Everyone’s offering tens of thousands of dollars over list price, you have to too!”. Many people were just extrapolating out the past price increases. House prices continued to rise in 20–in large part because people expected them to continue to rise even though many of the underlying fundamentals were no longer bullish. Many potential live-in homeowners wanted to buy before prices increased even more, fearing they might be priced out of home ownership forever. Many investors who had made a ton of money on house price appreciation doubled down, borrowed as much money as they could, and bought more houses. Nevertheless, house prices continued to skyrocket until May 2022. The work-from-home movement was old news by then too. Interest rates stopped falling in January 2021. Changes in the other fundamentals caused by the pandemic further stoked the demand for houses. Starting in late 2018, mortgage rates fell for two years, driving down monthly payments and driving up house prices. When you’re borrowing for 30 years with a small down payment, mortgage interest rate changes have a huge impact on your monthly payments. Mortgage rates are one of the most fundamental of all housing market demand drivers. The point is, whether prices are moving up, down, or sideways, many people will expect the current price trend to continue into the future and those expectations can be a big part of the current demand for houses. Perhaps that’s why economists don’t call price expectations fundamental: It’s just too hard to explain that, with houses, the secondary effect of price changes (their impact on future price expectations) can sometimes temporarily overpower their textbook effect. It’s true higher prices will reduce demand in the long run–but if higher prices make people think prices will go even higher in the near future, higher prices can cause demand to increase in the short and medium run. Higher prices are supposed to reduce demand. This is the opposite of standard economic thinking. When prices go up lenders also tend to extrapolate the increasing prices and their increasing profits out into the future, and in turn, they may become more willing to lend money leading to more money chasing houses, higher house prices, and so on in another feedback loop. It’s not just house buyers and sellers who are affected. If you expect house prices to be lower in the future, you’re more willing to sell, less willing to buy now, and less willing to pay current market prices for a house which creates a negative feedback loop of lower prices leading to lower prices. To some degree, higher prices lead to higher prices. That expectation causes house prices to go up even more rapidly, which causes people to become even more confident prices will continue to go up, so prices continue to go up, and so on in a feedback loop. The general idea has been called: price expectations, price extrapolation, biased expectations, adaptive expectations, diagnostic expectations, irrational exuberance, learning from prices, momentum trading, and other names.ĭespite all the different names, the idea seems obvious: If you expect house prices to be higher in the future, you are, naturally, less willing to sell now, more willing to buy now, and more willing to pay above the current market price for a house. Unfortunately, they call it a ton of different things–which is very confusing. For some unknown reason, economists don’t consider people’s expectations for future house prices to be a fundamental factor determining current house prices–but they should.Įconomists have done a ton of research on this general idea. Economists say “fundamental” economic factors, such as interest rates and household income, determine house prices. ![]() THIS STORMING EXP TO SUBSIDE IN THE FCST PERIOD. RMK: LOW LVL GEOMAGNETIC STORMING CAUSING INCREASED AURORAL ACT AND SUBSEQUENT MOD DEGRADATION OF GNSS AND HF COM AVBL IN THE AURORAL ZONE. These advisories enable operators to maintain awareness of potential hazards and to formulate alternative plans should the impending conditions be of a magnitude and/or type that could disrupt normal operations. ![]() Space weather advisories for international air navigation address particular types of disturbances, such as solar radiation storms, geomagnetic storms, ionospheric storms, and solar flares. Space weather events may occur on short time scales, with the effects occurring from seemingly instantaneous to a few days hence. The Sun also emits a continuous stream of radiation in the form of charged particles that make up the plasma of the solar wind.įrom an operations perspective, space weather events occur when the Sun causes disruptions to aviation communications, navigation and surveillance systems, radiation-sensitive electronics and elevates radiation dose levels at flight altitudes. Outbursts from huge explosions on the Sun - Solar Flares and Coronal Mass Ejections ( CME) - send space weather storms hurling outward through our solar system. There are various phenomena that originate from the Sun that can result in space weather storms. An operative version of the model runs at the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center and is used by power companies, satellite operators and other affected user groups.Space weather is a consequence of the behaviour of the Sun, the nature of Earth’s magnetic field and atmosphere, and our location in the solar system. To achieve predictive capability, the models run considerably faster than real time on mid-size parallel computers, which poses limitations on the resolution and physics included in the model as well as challenges for the numerical solutions. We develop high-performance, first-principles based computational models to describe and predict hazardous conditions in the near-Earth space. We study the effects of the large solar eruptions, coronal mass ejections, as they impact the Earth causing the most severe space weather events. Radiation effects on humans can be significant for astronauts, but are non-negligible also for crew and passengers onboard high-altitude / high-latitude aircraft. The adverse effects of space weather range from damage to satellites, disturbances in satellite communication and navigation systems, disturbances in radio communications, and disruptions of power grids and systems especially in the high-latitude areas. Space weather dynamics driven by the solar wind includes rapidly varying magnetic disturbances, intensification and decay of strong charged particle fluxes in the near-Earth space, and strong currents in the ionosphere that induce electromagnetic disturbances on ground. Space weather refers to the conditions and processes occurring in space that can potentially produce harmful effects on infrastructure, communications, or humans in space or on ground. 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